The hottest focus is on the demand trend of wires

2022-10-22
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Pay attention to the demand trend of wires and cables in the "12th Five Year Plan"

in the next 10 years, the development speed of China's cable industry will be higher than GDP, reaching 8%-10% and above. The demand of the cable industry mainly comes from the following factors:

(I) the construction of strong smart electricity will provide the industry with broad market demand and innovation space

the overall goal of power development in the 12th Five Year Plan is 1 design idea: the construction takes ultra-high voltage electricity as the backbone, the coordinated development of electricity at all levels, with the characteristics of informatization, automation and interaction, safe, reliable, cost-effective, clean and environmental protection, transparent and open Friendly and interactive unified strong intelligent electricity, realizing the upgrading and leap from traditional electricity to modern electricity. By 2015, a strong northwest and Northeast power transmission terminal and 'Sanhua' UHV receiving terminal will be built. 8. The counter: 99999999, which can be preset, and the ability to optimize the allocation of power resources will be greatly improved. Key cities have formed a strong network pattern of 500 (330) kV, 220 kV main frame and 220 kV, 110 (66) kV district power supply. Rural power has built a 110 kV (66 kV) main frame with 220 kV substation as the hub, and county power and key users have fully realized dual power supply. We have basically formed an intelligent power operation control and interactive service system, and achieved major breakthroughs in key technologies and equipment. Major changes in the scale and development mode of power construction will bring huge market demand and innovation space to the industry

(II) urbanization trend is an important factor supporting the long-term development of the industry

the process of reform and opening up, in a sense, is the gradual process of rural population gradually transferring to cities and towns, that is, the process of urbanization. During the three decades of reform and opening up, the urbanization rate has increased from 17.9% in 1978 to 45.7% in 2008, a cumulative increase of 27.8 percentage points, and great achievements have been made. However, compared with the 78% level in developed countries, there is still great development potential. The central economic work conference held at the end of 2009 took urbanization as the focus of expanding domestic demand and adjusting the structure, giving urbanization a new meaning and mission. Urbanization and the resulting industrialization trend will bring long-term rigid demand to the power cable industry to ensure the sustainable development and growth of the industry. The urbanization process makes the construction industry one of the pillar industries in China at the beginning of the 21st century, which will bring opportunities to construction wires and cables for other electrical equipment. Cable demand for high-rise building development: it is estimated that the country will need at least 2250km flat cable or 12750km round rubber cable for elevator cables from the end of the tenth five year plan to the eleventh five year plan. Demand for cables in the development of urban construction industry: with the standardization of architectural design and construction, BV lines are used more and have larger cross-section than before. Products with a cross-sectional area of 2.5mm2 and above are widely used. The cross-sectional area of power lines for commercial high-rise buildings can sometimes reach 240-300 mm2. In order to meet the fire-retardant requirements of buildings, 80000-90000 kilometers of fire-retardant cables will be connected with 1 The demand for 50000 kilometers of fire-proof cables is far less than this at present

(III) the power cable industry benefits from railway investment and subway construction project investment

in 2010, the state will continue to implement policies to stimulate domestic demand in order to stimulate the economy, and the investment in various infrastructure, including railway and rail transit, will maintain the intensity of 2009. The national railway work conference pointed out that in 2010, the national railway plans to arrange 823.5 billion yuan of fixed asset investment, including 700 billion yuan of capital construction investment and 700 billion yuan of revenue cutting during installation. In the next three years, China will also start the construction of a number of new railway lines. The new railway lines will be put into operation for 26000 kilometers, and the annual investment scale is also about 700billion yuan. In terms of urban rail transit, by the end of 2009, about 27 cities were preparing to build urban rail transit, of which 22 cities' rail transit construction plans had been approved by the State Council. According to the plans of 22 cities that have been approved, 79 rail transit lines will be built around 2015, with a total length of 2259.84 kilometers and a total investment of 882 billion yuan. The total mileage is more than the total mileage currently in operation and under construction. The above railway investment and subway construction projects will bring huge orders to the power cable industry and become the pillar force to support the rapid development of the industry in the next few years

(IV) the huge development space of wind power has become a new highlight of the market demand for power cables.

as a clean energy encouraged by the state, wind power investment is in the ascendant. With the formal implementation of the renewable energy law in 2006 and the promulgation of the 11th Five Year Plan for renewable energy development in 2008, and the improvement and implementation of relevant supporting policies such as renewable energy power generation, electricity price and cost sharing, financial subsidies and tax incentives, China's cumulative installed capacity in 2008 was 12.21 million KW, and the new installed capacity in that year exceeded the sum of the installed capacity in previous years before 2007. It is expected that by the end of 2010, The total installed capacity of wind energy in China will reach 30million kW, which is expected to catch up with Germany and Spain, second only to the United States. In the medium and long term, China's wind power installed capacity planning in 2020 has been raised from 30million kW to 80million kW to 100million kW, with great development potential in the future. The huge development space of wind power has also become an incremental factor in the demand of power cable market

(V) the economic development of Electromechanical industry has a demand for assembly wires

the automotive industry will become a new economic growth point in China, which will bring rapid development to automotive wires and enameled wires. Industrial development will increase the consumption of motors, and it is expected that the winding wires will have a low-speed and stable development. It should be noted that most of the bosses, senior engineers and sales managers of private experimental machine enterprises have gone through this post. The transformation of motor insulation grade from grade B to grade F will speed up the upgrading of enameled wires. In addition, the improvement of rural living standards and urban construction will drive the further popularization and development of household appliances and provide a market for the further development of electromagnetic wires and other cable products

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